Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi is set to meet Iran’s leaders for talks on regional security, including the future of Iraq’s Kurdistan and the role of the Tehran-backed Shia militias in his country.
There was no confirmation if Abadi will also meet with Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, although analyst said it would be likely.
The trip follows his visit on Wednesday to Turkey, where he met with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Prime Minister Binali Yildirim, and reaffirmed their stance against the Kurdish independence vote.
Earlier on Wednesday, the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) proposed to freeze the outcome of the referendum, and open talks with Baghdad, while calling for an “immediate ceasefire and cessation of military operations” in Kurdistan.
The KRG proposal came just days after Iraqi forces took control of the Kurdish-held Kirkuk, with the support of the Shia militia, the Popular Mobilisation Units.
Abadi’s trip to Iran on Thursday is seen as a continuing effort to bolster Baghdad’s call for a unified Iraq.
The Tehran-backed Popular Mobilisation Unit fought alongside the Iraqi forces in fighting ISIL. On Monday, during his meeting with US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, Abadi rejected the US call for the Shia militia to leave Iraq, saying it is “part of the Iraqi institutions”.
Zweiri also said that showing solidarity towards Baghdad on the Kurdish question also serves Tehran’s interest in the region.
Saudi influence in Iraq
Seyed Mohammad Hashemi, a Tehran based journalist, told Al Jazeera that aside from the discussion on the Kurdish issue and the Kirkuk offensive, he expects Abadi to “carry a message on behalf of the US administration” about the Iran nuclear deal and the possibility of further negotiations.
Hashemi also said that with the upcoming Shia Muslim holiday of Arbaeen, a time when many Iranian pilgrims travel to Iraq, he expects Abadi to discuss security measures and coordination. In the past, Shia religious events and holy sites in Iraq have been targeted with deadly suicide attacks and bombings.
“I don’t think Iran is very much concerned about Saudi Arabia’s role in Iraq,” he said.
“That is because the commonalities between Iranian and Iraqi people in social, cultural and religious spheres are great and already profound.”
“We have heard Saudis want to play a role in Iraq’s reconstruction,” he said.
“However, I don’t think the Saudis, who have their own problems with their ambitious economic plan, will be able to fulfill pledges they made to Baghdad,” Hashemi said.
Zweiri, the Doha-based scholar of Iranian politics, agreed with Hashemi’s assessment on the Iraq-Saudi relations saying that “there’s loads of obstacles and mistrusts” between the two countries.
“I don’t think the normalisation between Baghdad and Riyadh will happen quickly,” he said, adding that among the Iraqi political establishment, there is still many “who are not keen to develop relations with Saudi Arabia.”